AEG/WP’s chosen actuary did not validate the assumption that direct primary care reduces downstream care costs.

AEG/WP report declares that “[Nyhart, an independent] actuary determined that “(1) the modeling assumptions are reasonable for this type of analysis and (2) the illustrative projections and savings are reasonable outcomes based on the modeling assumptions and data inputs selected.” This statement sounds like powerful support for report’s key assumption that direct primary care bringsContinue reading “AEG/WP’s chosen actuary did not validate the assumption that direct primary care reduces downstream care costs.”

Nextera’s marketing presentation establishes huge selection bias, while revealing modest evidence that Nextera cuts cost for some of its patients. But the data set is tiny, old, and contaminated by results for fee for service patients!

UPDATE 5/31/2019. This needs a correction, but I want to leave it intact below for the record. I have in the title above and the text below that the Nextera data is contaminated by FFS patient data. This is not correct. To preserve HSA tax advantages, many of the Nextera patients did not want toContinue reading “Nextera’s marketing presentation establishes huge selection bias, while revealing modest evidence that Nextera cuts cost for some of its patients. But the data set is tiny, old, and contaminated by results for fee for service patients!”

The two largest and most current AEG/WP examples of downstream cost reduction failed to adequately address selection bias.

“Healthcare Innovations in Georgia:Two Recommendations”, the report prepared by the Anderson Economic Group and Wilson Partners (AEG/WP) for the Georgia Public Policy Foundation, makes some valuable contributions to deliberations about direct primary care. The AEG/WP team clearly explained their computations and made clear the assumptions underlying their report. This facilitates the public discussion that theContinue reading “The two largest and most current AEG/WP examples of downstream cost reduction failed to adequately address selection bias.”

Why did Wilson Partners’ research into DPC cost-reduction bypass uniquely available and pointedly relevant data?

“Healthcare Innovations in Georgia:Two Recommendations”, the report prepared by the Anderson Economic Group and Wilson Partners (AEG/WP) for the Georgia Public Policy Foundation, makes some valuable contributions to deliberations about direct primary care. The AEG/WP team clearly explained their computations and made clear the assumptions underlying their report. This facilitates the public discussion that theContinue reading “Why did Wilson Partners’ research into DPC cost-reduction bypass uniquely available and pointedly relevant data?”

Selection bias infected the best documented argument that direct primary care reduced downstream costs.

An update appears at the bottom of the page. “Healthcare Innovations in Georgia:Two Recommendations”, the report prepared by the Anderson Economic Group and Wilson Partners (AEG/WP) for the Georgia Public Policy Foundation, makes some valuable contributions to deliberations about direct primary care. The AEG/WP team clearly explained their computations and made clear the assumptions underlyingContinue reading “Selection bias infected the best documented argument that direct primary care reduced downstream costs.”

The marketplace reached a judgment about direct primary care pioneer, Qliance.

Note: In 2020, I posted an updated assessment of Qliance. Washington State is deservedly recognized as the birthplace and one of the most prominent frontiers for DPC, in large part because of Qliance. The Seattle-based DPC conglomerate is recognized as an exemplary market force in the private sector of health care. Major investors such asContinue reading “The marketplace reached a judgment about direct primary care pioneer, Qliance.”

“Trust us. We did studies.” AEG/WP have a special way of showing that direct primary care reduces the costs of downstream care.

“Healthcare Innovations in Georgia:Two Recommendations”, the report prepared by the Anderson Economic Group and Wilson Partners (AEG/WP) for the Georgia Public Policy Foundation, makes some valuable contributions to deliberations about direct primary care. The AEG/WP team clearly explained their computations and made clear the assumptions underlying their report. This facilitates the public discussion that theContinue reading ““Trust us. We did studies.” AEG/WP have a special way of showing that direct primary care reduces the costs of downstream care.”

$938,824,142. How fair adjustments to the $70 DPC assumption reduce the billion dollar savings claimed in the AEG/WP report by 85%.

A billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you’re talking real money. Attributed to Senate Everett Dirkson (R-IL, deceased) This spreadsheet recomputes net five year savings from direct primary care if AEG/WP’s assumptions of (a) a $70 per month DPC fee that (b) stays constant for the next ten years are replaced with theContinue reading “$938,824,142. How fair adjustments to the $70 DPC assumption reduce the billion dollar savings claimed in the AEG/WP report by 85%.”

AEG/WP left a small “wellness” thumbprint on the scale measuring the impact of their DPC package

In “Healthcare Innovations in Georgia:Two Recommendations”, the report it prepared for the Georgia Public Policy Foundation, the Anderson Economic Group and Wilson Partners (AEG/WP) for the Georgia Public Policy Foundation, clearly explained their computations and made clear the assumptions underlying their report. This facilitates the public discussion that the Georgia Public Policy Foundation sought toContinue reading “AEG/WP left a small “wellness” thumbprint on the scale measuring the impact of their DPC package”

Origins and future of the report “Healthcare Innovations in Georgia”

The Medicaid goal of the political right in Georgia has always been careful stewardship of tax-payer funds. Three years ago, the Georgia Public Policy Foundation began to flog a bargain basement Medicaid waiver plan priced at $2500 per capita. The core rationale for this seemingly meager amount was that $60-$70 a month direct primary careContinue reading “Origins and future of the report “Healthcare Innovations in Georgia””